Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Time to Failure Estimation

The concept of TTFE is to eliminate the misnomer ‘predictive’ maintenance. The maintenance inspections and tasks associated with PdM are designed to detect an impending problem. The issue, however, comes when a decision maker asks ‘how long will it last.’

To be perfectly blunt, there is no way of actually ‘predicting’ or giving a perfectly accurate statement. The result is a stammering response of maybe now, maybe later, or some variation. What the decision maker is really looking for is some measurement of risk that the equipment will operate for some amount of time.

The method is direct and will provide straight forward answers.

The six page paper on Time to Failure Estimation Techniques is available now from http://www.motordiagnostics.com/presentations.htm.

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